aaaand the NBA just suspended their entire season

damn dude.

Yeah I want health authorities to take this seriously, but the relative risk compared to "totally normal" road violence is tiny.

a doctor I follow is finding that in the United States the fatality rate is approaching ten percent

its early yet and data is still coming in

This is not about fatality rates due to the virus, it is about reducing fatalities due to exhausting medical capacity.

It’s completely unknown/unknowable right now.

Symptoms in a lot of people are too mild, it’s too contagious, the people at risk have no vaccine option, testing kits aren’t widely available.

In places like Italy (and probably a lot of western countries) where no severe measures were taken before it spread everywhere the total infected number is probably much bigger than the confirmed cases number, making the mortality rate seem higher.

China took extreme steps to stop the spread so their infected number is probably closer to the confirmed cases number. But there’s also a chance China is underreporting how many people died from it.


Other fun metric is if the health system gets overwhelmed, and it probably will, then the mortality rate will go up from lack of care.



The only thing you can do now is buy 5 years worth of toilet paper.

And it probably is more dangerous, as it seems to even kill people that are getting good medical care and aren’t severely frail.

this is only sorta true, although people under fifty are less likely to get seriously or critically ill from COVID-19, it is twice as (or more) dangerous than the average influenza virus